Statistics of Price Movements of FNCB Bancorp Inc (FNCB)

The price movements of FNCB Bancorp Inc (ticker FNCB) are summarized in five ways:

• Table 1. Statistics of daily price changes using the closing prices
• Table 2. Statistics of daily price changes using the closing and opening prices
• Table 3 – 7. Statistics of daily price changes when FNCB opened with an increase of 1%, 2%, 3%, 4%, or more than 5%
• Table 8 – 10. Statistics of stock price changes in the 20 days after FNCB had a big price move
• Table 11. Statistics of daily price changes in the 20 days after FNCB moved 5% with twice the 30-day average volume

The statistics are calculated using FNCB's price data across 720 trading days from 2018 to 2020.

Table 1. Statistics of FNCB one-day price changes

In this table, the one-day price change is calculated using the closing price and the previous day's closing price.

In the past 720 trading days, 43.9% of the time (316 days), FNCB closed above the previous day's closing price. 44.9% of the time (323 days), it closed below the previous day's closing price. 11.1% of the time (80 days), it did not change.

Also see: VIX price movement study.

FNCB Price Change (%)	Number of Days	% of Total Sessions
34 – 35%	1	0.14%
30 – 31%	1	0.14%
29 – 30%	1	0.14%
22 – 23%	1	0.14%
16 – 17%	1	0.14%
15 – 16%	1	0.14%
14 – 15%	2	0.28%
13 – 14%	1	0.14%
12 – 13%	1	0.14%
11 – 12%	2	0.28%
10 – 11%	1	0.14%
9 – 10%	2	0.28%
8 – 9%	4	0.56%
7 – 8%	4	0.56%
6 – 7%	6	0.83%
5 – 6%	13	1.81%
4 – 5%	17	2.36%
3 – 4%	31	4.31%
2 – 3%	60	8.34%
1 – 2%	64	8.90%
0 – 1%	102	14.19%
0%	80	11.13%
0 – -1%	93	12.93%
-1 – -2%	75	10.43%
-2 – -3%	55	7.65%
-3 – -4%	35	4.87%
-4 – -5%	20	2.78%
-5 – -6%	15	2.09%
-6 – -7%	11	1.53%
-7 – -8%	6	0.83%
-9 – -10%	1	0.14%
-10 – -11%	2	0.28%
-11 – -12%	2	0.28%
-12 – -13%	1	0.14%
-13 – -14%	2	0.28%
-14 – -15%	2	0.28%
-16 – -17%	1	0.14%
-17 – -18%	2	0.28%

Table 2. Statistics of FNCB: Closing vs. Open

In this table, instead of using the closing price of the previous day, the opening price is used to calculate the one-day price change of FNCB.

43.2% of the time (311 days), FNCB closed above the opening price. 42.8% of the time (308 days), it closed below the opening price. 14.0% of the time (101 days), it closed where it started.

Closing - Open (%)	Number of Days	% of Total Sessions
25 – 26%	1	0.14%
23 – 24%	1	0.14%
22 – 23%	1	0.14%
20 – 21%	1	0.14%
16 – 17%	2	0.28%
13 – 14%	1	0.14%
11 – 12%	3	0.42%
10 – 11%	1	0.14%
9 – 10%	2	0.28%
8 – 9%	2	0.28%
7 – 8%	8	1.11%
6 – 7%	3	0.42%
5 – 6%	8	1.11%
4 – 5%	17	2.36%
3 – 4%	27	3.75%
2 – 3%	56	7.78%
1 – 2%	62	8.61%
0 – 1%	115	15.97%
0%	101	14.03%
0 – -1%	85	11.81%
-1 – -2%	76	10.56%
-2 – -3%	59	8.19%
-3 – -4%	33	4.58%
-4 – -5%	22	3.06%
-5 – -6%	7	0.97%
-6 – -7%	7	0.97%
-7 – -8%	12	1.67%
-8 – -9%	1	0.14%
-9 – -10%	1	0.14%
-12 – -13%	1	0.14%
-13 – -14%	1	0.14%
-14 – -15%	2	0.28%
-20 – -21%	1	0.14%

Table 3. One-day performance when FNCB opened 5% higher than previous close

In the past 720 trading days, FNCB opened more than 5% higher than the previous day's closing price 17 times. Of these days, 35.3% (6 days) had closing prices above the opening price, and 64.7% (11 days) had closing prices below the opening price.

Closing - Open (%)	Number of Days	% of Total Sessions
25 – 26%	1	5.88%
22 – 23%	1	5.88%
20 – 21%	1	5.88%
2 – 3%	2	11.76%
0 – 1%	1	5.88%
0 – -1%	1	5.88%
-1 – -2%	1	5.88%
-2 – -3%	2	11.76%
-4 – -5%	4	23.53%
-7 – -8%	2	11.76%
-9 – -10%	1	5.88%

Table 4. Closing vs. open when FNCB opened 4–5% higher

On 12 days, FNCB opened 4–5% higher than the previous day's closing price. Of these days, 33.3% (4 days) had closing prices above the opening price, and 58.3% (7 days) had closing prices below the opening price.

Closing - Open (%)	Number of Days	% of Total Sessions
11 – 12%	1	8.33%
9 – 10%	1	8.33%
1 – 2%	1	8.33%
0 – 1%	1	8.33%
0%	1	8.33%
-2 – -3%	4	33.33%
-5 – -6%	1	8.33%
-7 – -8%	2	16.67%

Table 5. Closing vs. open when FNCB open 3 – 4% higher

22 times FNCB opened 3 – 4% higher than the previous day's closing price. Among these days, 45.5% (10 days) closed above the opening price, 45.5% (10 days) closed below the opening price.

Closing - Open (%)	Number of Days	% of Total Sessions
11 – 12%	1	4.55%
8 – 9%	1	4.55%
7 – 8%	1	4.55%
3 – 4%	1	4.55%
2 – 3%	1	4.55%
1 – 2%	2	9.09%
0 – 1%	3	13.64%
0%	2	9.09%
0 – -1%	4	18.18%
-2 – -3%	2	9.09%
-4 – -5%	1	4.55%
-5 – -6%	1	4.55%
-6 – -7%	1	4.55%
-20 – -21%	1	4.55%

Table 6. Closing vs. open when FNCB open 2 – 3% higher

47 times FNCB opened 2 – 3% higher than the previous day's closing price. Among these days, 42.6% (20 days) closed above the opening price, 46.8% (22 days) closed below the opening price.

Closing - Open (%)	Number of Days	% of Total Sessions
8 – 9%	1	2.13%
4 – 5%	1	2.13%
3 – 4%	1	2.13%
2 – 3%	4	8.51%
1 – 2%	2	4.26%
0 – 1%	11	23.40%
0%	5	10.64%
0 – -1%	3	6.38%
-1 – -2%	6	12.77%
-2 – -3%	7	14.89%
-3 – -4%	5	10.64%
-6 – -7%	1	2.13%

Table 7. Closing vs. open when FNCB open 1 – 2% higher

84 times FNCB opened 1 – 2% higher than the previous day's closing price. Among these days, 45.2% (38 days) closed above the opening price, 50.0% (42 days) closed below the opening price.

Closing - Open (%)	Number of Days	% of Total Sessions
11 – 12%	1	1.19%
10 – 11%	1	1.19%
7 – 8%	3	3.57%
4 – 5%	2	2.38%
3 – 4%	2	2.38%
2 – 3%	3	3.57%
1 – 2%	7	8.33%
0 – 1%	19	22.62%
0%	4	4.76%
0 – -1%	9	10.71%
-1 – -2%	12	14.29%
-2 – -3%	8	9.52%
-3 – -4%	8	9.52%
-5 – -6%	1	1.19%
-7 – -8%	4	4.76%

Table 8. Periods when FNCB moved 15% or more

In this table, we track the price movements in the 20 days after FNCB had a one-day price change of at least 15%.

Date	Price Change	Price Change after 15% Move
Days after:		1	4	7	10	13	16	19
20200313	34.3%	-17.7	-3.6	1.4	-6.9	-13.6	-.1	.0
20200429	30.4%	-9.6	-11.2	-10.1	-20.7	-8.6	-9.6	-11.5
20200324	29%	-7.0	-7.2	-1.4	-3.0	-1.4	-18.9	-21.4
20200317	22.3%	-17.6	-22.0	7.2	-2.0	-7.8	-2.1	-3.1
20200319	16.1%	-14.7	-2.2	-2.4	3.7	2.1	3.7	-14.7
20200402	15.7%	-7.1	-1.4	-2.4	-21.3	-20.9	-16.6	-2.0
20190206	-16.9%	-.3	-.3	.4	1.1	.4	.7	2.4
20200318	-17.5%	16.2	22.2	12.2	4.1	20.3	20.5	4.1
20200316	-17.7%	22.4	.0	14.6	14.4	21.5	19.6	21.5

Table 8a. FNCB average price changes following a 15% up day

Of the 720 trading days from 2018 to 2020, there were 6 days in which FNCB was up more than 15%. This table shows the average price changes over the 6 days.

Average Type	Average Price Change
Days after:	1	4	7	10	13	16	19
Avg for Change ≥ 15%	-12.3	-7.9	-1.3	-8.3	-8.4	-7.3	-8.8

Table 8b. FNCB average price changes following a 15% down day

Of the 720 trading days from 2018 to 2020, there were 3 days in which FNCB was down more than -15%. This table shows the average price changes over the 3 days.

Average Type	Average Price Change
Days after:	1	4	7	10	13	16	19
Avg for Change ≥ -15%	12.8	7.3	9.1	6.5	14.1	13.6	9.4

Table 9. Periods when FNCB moved 10% or more

In this table, we track the price movements in the 20 days after FNCB had a one-day price change of at least 10%.

Date	Price Change	Price Change after 10% Move
Days after:		1	4	7	10	13	16	19
20200313	34.3%	-17.7	-3.6	1.4	-6.9	-13.6	-.1	.0
20200429	30.4%	-9.6	-11.2	-10.1	-20.7	-8.6	-9.6	-11.5
20200324	29%	-7.0	-7.2	-1.4	-3.0	-1.4	-18.9	-21.4
20200317	22.3%	-17.6	-22.0	7.2	-2.0	-7.8	-2.1	-3.1
20200319	16.1%	-14.7	-2.2	-2.4	3.7	2.1	3.7	-14.7
20200402	15.7%	-7.1	-1.4	-2.4	-21.3	-20.9	-16.6	-2.0
20200629	14.7%	-5.3	-10.7	-10.2	-10.2	-8.4	-3.5	-6.3
20200326	14.5%	-13.8	-20.0	-7.5	-7.4	-20.0	-17.2	-24.6
20200417	13.6%	-10.9	-5.0	-16.0	.0	-8.5	-4.6	-14.9
20180910	12.1%	8.0	14.1	20.1	19.2	12.4	11.4	9.6
20200615	11.7%	-2.9	-11.1	-16.4	-8.7	-18.5	-20.3	-18.8
20200518	11.1%	-6.5	-5.1	-3.8	-12.3	-8.9	.6	-5.1
20201110	10.2%	4.6	.3	.5	1.4	2.3	-1.2	3.5
20201112	-10%	4.7	2.8	5.0	8.9	7.3	11.7	9.2
20200420	-10.8%	-.7	4.7	22.9	12.9	8.1	.5	1.1
20200626	-11%	14.7	2.5	.2	2.1	11.0	4.7	10.4
20200414	-11.4%	-4.8	-7.8	-1.7	-13.1	3.5	-5.3	-1.3
20200401	-12.4%	15.7	13.9	15.7	-4.8	-7.8	-1.7	-13.1
20200303	-13.5%	5.5	-3.0	-13.3	17.3	-4.2	9.8	9.7
20200327	-13.7%	1.1	7.4	5.7	7.4	-11.7	-14.4	-8.7
20200320	-14.6%	-4.5	31.2	20.0	12.8	19.8	18.6	-4.3
20200428	-14.7%	30.4	19.8	14.6	6.7	7.2	15.6	13.1
20190206	-16.9%	-.3	-.3	.4	1.1	.4	.7	2.4
20200318	-17.5%	16.2	22.2	12.2	4.1	20.3	20.5	4.1
20200316	-17.7%	22.4	.0	14.6	14.4	21.5	19.6	21.5

Table 9a. FNCB average price changes following a 10% up day

Of the 720 trading days from 2018 to 2020, there were 13 days in which FNCB was up more than 10%. This table shows the average price changes over the 13 days.

Average Type	Average Price Change
Days after:	1	4	7	10	13	16	19
Avg for Change ≥ 10%	-7.7	-6.5	-3.2	-5.2	-7.7	-6.0	-8.4

Table 9b. FNCB average price changes following a 10% down day

Of the 720 trading days from 2018 to 2020, there were 12 days in which FNCB was down more than -10%. This table shows the average price changes over the 12 days.

Average Type	Average Price Change
Days after:	1	4	7	10	13	16	19
Avg for Change ≥ -10%	8.4	7.8	8.0	5.8	6.3	6.7	3.7

Table 10. Periods when FNCB moved 5% or more

In this table, we track the price movements in the 20 days after FNCB had a one-day price change of at least 5%.

Date	Price Change	Price Change after 5% Move
Days after:		1	4	7	10	13	16	19
20200313	34.3%	-17.7	-3.6	1.4	-6.9	-13.6	-.1	.0
20200429	30.4%	-9.6	-11.2	-10.1	-20.7	-8.6	-9.6	-11.5
20200324	29%	-7.0	-7.2	-1.4	-3.0	-1.4	-18.9	-21.4
20200317	22.3%	-17.6	-22.0	7.2	-2.0	-7.8	-2.1	-3.1
20200319	16.1%	-14.7	-2.2	-2.4	3.7	2.1	3.7	-14.7
20200402	15.7%	-7.1	-1.4	-2.4	-21.3	-20.9	-16.6	-2.0
20200629	14.7%	-5.3	-10.7	-10.2	-10.2	-8.4	-3.5	-6.3
20200326	14.5%	-13.8	-20.0	-7.5	-7.4	-20.0	-17.2	-24.6
20200417	13.6%	-10.9	-5.0	-16.0	.0	-8.5	-4.6	-14.9
20180910	12.1%	8.0	14.1	20.1	19.2	12.4	11.4	9.6
20200615	11.7%	-2.9	-11.1	-16.4	-8.7	-18.5	-20.3	-18.8
20200518	11.1%	-6.5	-5.1	-3.8	-12.3	-8.9	.6	-5.1
20201110	10.2%	4.6	.3	.5	1.4	2.3	-1.2	3.5
20181024	9.8%	.0	-8.4	-4.8	-4.8	-1.5	-4.7	-6.3
20201005	9.6%	-4.6	-.3	-8.8	-7.4	-5.8	-9.1	-9.1
20190826	8.9%	-2.7	-4.3	-6.4	-3.6	2.9	7.3	5.9
20201015	8.8%	-3.0	-3.5	-7.5	-5.2	-.8	2.8	7.3
20191216	8.4%	-2.6	-.2	-5.2	-4.8	-1.6	-5.5	-4.1
20180911	8%	2.6	6.5	14.1	6.6	-2.2	2.6	.1
20181031	7.7%	.1	.2	.2	-8.2	-6.9	-10.9	-2.2
20190118	7.5%	.0	-.1	.7	3.1	-22.5	-23.8	-21.9
20200406	7.5%	-1.4	.1	-17.6	-20.2	-14.9	-24.7	-10.4
20200625	7%	-11.1	-6.1	-6.1	-13.8	-5.4	-4.5	-.2
20200605	6.8%	1.0	-6.4	5.9	-3.1	-8.9	-.5	-11.1
20201020	6.6%	-2.8	-6.9	-4.5	-.2	3.5	8.0	7.5
20200807	6.2%	-1.9	1.4	-4.4	-4.1	-1.6	-7.4	-2.2
20181126	6.1%	3.0	-4.3	2.2	4.4	1.7	.2	-2.7
20201029	6.1%	-3.5	15.3	13.5	11.4	13.9	18.1	16.3
20180625	6%	.0	-1.0	-2.3	-.8	-3.3	-6.9	-.6
20190916	5.9%	-2.0	-3.3	-4.2	-7.2	-12.8	-15.9	-7.0
20200515	5.8%	11.2	9.9	7.6	-1.4	6.4	9.2	1.2
20200721	5.7%	1.4	-1.7	1.0	-2.7	7.8	8.4	4.8
20200427	5.6%	-14.7	1.5	-7.1	-3.2	-13.6	-5.0	-3.6
20200304	5.4%	-4.6	-5.4	10.4	-8.4	-13.2	19.2	9.0
20181226	5.3%	-4.0	-3.0	1.1	-3.3	-1.4	3.7	9.2
20200915	5.3%	-4.3	-13.9	-17.5	-19.5	-14.6	-10.8	-7.1
20180802	5.2%	-4.2	-4.9	-3.3	-3.4	-1.6	-2.2	-5.5
20181115	5.2%	.0	-7.8	-1.7	2.1	.4	2.4	3.7
20200507	5.2%	2.3	-9.8	4.0	2.8	.7	-7.8	-.5
20200710	5.2%	.9	3.0	8.5	5.4	11.5	4.8	10.2
20200302	5.1%	-13.5	-13.1	-20.1	-17.1	-2.9	2.2	-6.2
20200602	5%	3.8	6.6	-1.2	11.8	2.2	-3.8	5.0
20180419	-5%	.0	-2.2	.0	.0	.0	-2.1	-.3
20181023	-5%	9.8	4.1	8.5	8.6	8.6	-.6	.9
20200707	-5.1%	2.8	2.8	4.9	10.6	7.4	13.6	6.8
20200630	-5.2%	-2.8	-2.8	-10.8	-2.1	-1.2	3.3	.2
20200716	-5.2%	2.2	6.8	3.6	6.5	2.5	13.7	14.2
20181114	-5.4%	5.3	3.4	-2.5	6.9	3.4	8.0	9.2
20200731	-5.5%	1.3	6.4	8.6	13.1	8.2	8.8	14.0
20181026	-5.6%	.4	4.6	4.7	4.7	-4.1	-2.6	-6.8
20200921	-5.6%	.5	-5.4	-4.3	8.8	6.5	4.3	4.9
20181224	-5.7%	.0	4.1	3.0	9.0	3.5	9.0	17.4
20200908	-5.7%	2.2	4.3	7.5	-4.9	-10.5	-9.5	2.9
20200709	-5.8%	5.3	14.4	8.0	13.8	14.0	9.0	15.8
20180622	-5.9%	6.0	6.0	3.5	3.5	3.4	.5	2.2
20200228	-5.9%	5.1	-8.5	-9.2	5.9	-12.1	-16.8	14.4
20200506	-5.9%	5.2	-2.1	-1.6	6.1	3.8	.7	.9
20180928	-6%	.8	.4	.3	-5.7	-5.3	-5.6	-1.6
20190802	-6%	-1.4	.7	1.2	-.1	-.7	5.3	4.8
20200512	-6%	-3.0	11.8	10.5	8.2	-.9	7.0	9.8
20181121	-6.1%	.0	9.7	1.9	8.9	11.2	8.3	6.7
20200312	-6.1%	34.4	11.5	5.6	45.1	32.6	24.8	32.4
20200519	-6.5%	3.8	1.5	-1.5	-1.4	4.1	4.4	13.5
20200611	-6.6%	4.2	5.1	4.9	4.2	.7	-5.1	-4.6
20190205	-6.8%	-17.0	-18.4	-16.3	-15.7	-15.5	-15.8	-17.7
20191014	-6.8%	3.7	.8	4.5	1.5	1.9	5.2	5.8
20200918	-6.8%	-5.6	-9.5	-11.7	-6.3	-2.2	1.9	2.0
20200923	-6.9%	2.5	.0	6.2	10.8	15.4	15.6	14.8
20200325	-7%	14.5	4.7	-1.5	4.5	3.5	-16.5	-16.1
20200403	-7.1%	7.5	7.7	-6.9	-3.7	-12.3	-5.1	-4.6
20200617	-7.1%	3.3	-2.5	-11.8	-6.8	-6.8	-14.5	-6.2
20200311	-7.5%	-6.1	27.0	3.8	18.9	18.7	26.1	24.1
20200831	-7.8%	2.6	6.7	4.3	10.4	.7	-11.1	-9.6
20181130	-7.9%	4.5	9.2	10.3	9.8	4.5	-4.1	-3.0
20200430	-9.6%	1.0	-7.6	-3.7	-14.0	-5.5	-4.0	-2.7
20201112	-10%	4.7	2.8	5.0	8.9	7.3	11.7	9.2
20200420	-10.8%	-.7	4.7	22.9	12.9	8.1	.5	1.1
20200626	-11%	14.7	2.5	.2	2.1	11.0	4.7	10.4
20200414	-11.4%	-4.8	-7.8	-1.7	-13.1	3.5	-5.3	-1.3
20200401	-12.4%	15.7	13.9	15.7	-4.8	-7.8	-1.7	-13.1
20200303	-13.5%	5.5	-3.0	-13.3	17.3	-4.2	9.8	9.7
20200327	-13.7%	1.1	7.4	5.7	7.4	-11.7	-14.4	-8.7
20200320	-14.6%	-4.5	31.2	20.0	12.8	19.8	18.6	-4.3
20200428	-14.7%	30.4	19.8	14.6	6.7	7.2	15.6	13.1
20190206	-16.9%	-.3	-.3	.4	1.1	.4	.7	2.4
20200318	-17.5%	16.2	22.2	12.2	4.1	20.3	20.5	4.1
20200316	-17.7%	22.4	.0	14.6	14.4	21.5	19.6	21.5

Table 10a. FNCB average price changes following a 5% up day

Of the 720 trading days from 2018 to 2020, there were 42 days in which FNCB was up more than 5%. This table shows the average price changes over the 42 days.

Average Type	Average Price Change
Days after:	1	4	7	10	13	16	19
Avg for Change ≥ 5%	-3.7	-3.5	-2.2	-3.9	-4.4	-3.2	-3.1

Table 10b. FNCB average price changes following a 5% down day

Of the 720 trading days from 2018 to 2020, there were 45 days in which FNCB was down more than -5%. This table shows the average price changes over the 45 days.

Average Type	Average Price Change
Days after:	1	4	7	10	13	16	19
Avg for Change ≥ -5%	4.3	4.2	2.7	5.1	3.4	3.0	4.2

28 stocks with statistics: AAPL, AMD, AMZN, APPN, AZN, BA, BAC, BIIB, CRM, CSCO, CX, DIS, FB, GE, GM, GOOG, IBM, INTC, JPM, JPM, MSFT, MU, NFLX, O, QQQ, SPY, T, TSLA,

Also see: VIX price movement study.